Cong Dems lose momentum on Iraq

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/TheNote/story?id=3D156238

All of American politics 2007 (and, of course, most of 2008) will be =

determined by the fallout from Democratic efforts on Capitol Hill to =

force President Bush to change course in Iraq.

The implications of Democrats’ success or =97 under today’s =

conventional wisdom =97 failure to force the White House’s hand will =

carom far and wide.

The overall Democratic strategic imperative remains the same =97 use =

public opinion to pressure enough Republicans to go to the President =

and demand a change =97 knowing that Democratic votes and voices alone =

won’t do it.

This strategy has run into a number of problems, however, both =

political and substantive. Okay: mostly political.

Perhaps the Democrats, back in town this week and caucusing =

ferociously, will find a way to change the trajectory of the =

political debate, but they are losing fast.

To wit:

  1. Doing massive code breaking on just how much ground the Democrats =

have lost, warrior Bob Novak Notes in a 100-proof must-read that =

(even) Sens. Chuck Hagel (R-NE) and Norm Coleman (R-MN) are not =

inclined to support deauthorization of the war, illustrating the =

backward movement. LINK

  1. The White House is impervious to facts on the ground when it comes =

to changing course.

  1. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is fearless, =

tactical, and loyal to the White House =97 meaning everything is =

filibusterable.

  1. Rep. John Murtha (D-PA) is, once again, Karl Rove’s best friend, =

in terms of creating divisions within the Democrat Party and giving =

full-blooded life to the White House’s “defund the troops” straw man. =

LINK

  1. Most Blue State Republicans up in 2008, typified by John Sununu (R- =

NH), just aren’t all that afraid of losing their seats over Iraq.

  1. Democrats in the House and Senate are not coordinating very well =

on message or legislative strategy, and are starting to point fingers =

in that classic party circular firing squad manner.

  1. Sen. Joe Lieberman (I/D-CT) =97 flexing in a(nother) Wall Street =

Journal op ed today =97 challenges Democrats to give the surge a chance =

to work through the summer, creating the patina of bipartisanship the =

Republicans need. LINK

  1. Speaker Pelosi has allowed herself to be Cheneyed. (Pronounced =

“chee-kneed,” not “chay-need.”) The conservative base is fully =

rallied, easing pressure on GOP officeholders.

  1. Chairman Levin saying he wants to “tie the President’s hands” and =

knowing that that is not the best soundbite, but also knowing he =

can’t unring the bell.

  1. The White House’s deft playing of the Petraeus card.

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